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From Cambridge University Press

Table 2: Projected extinction rates for different groups based on a variety of arguments

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Estimated extinction rate
Percent global loss per decade
Method of estimation
1 million species between 1975 and 2000
4
Extrapolation of past exponential trend
15%-20% of species between 1980 and 2000
8-11
Species-area curves and projected forest loss
12% of plant species in neotropics
Species-area curves
15% bird species in Amazon basin
As above
2000 plant species per year in tropics and subtropics
8
Loss of half the species in areas likely to be deforested by 2015
25% of species between 1985 and 2015
9
As above
At least 7% of plant species
7
Half of species lost in next decade in 10 'hotspots' covering 3.5% of forest area
0.2%-0.3% per year
2-3
Half of rainforest species lost in tropical rainforests are local endemics and becoming extinct with forest loss
5%-15% of forest species by 2020
2-5
Species-area curve; forest loss assumed twice rate projected by FAO for 1980-85
2%-8% loss between 1980 and 2015
1-5
Species-area curve; range includes current rate of forest loss and 50% increase

Source: WCMC, 1992, Global Biodiversity: Status of the Earth's Living Resources.


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