Women and fat distribution
The Nurses Health Study compared both WHR and waist
circumference to subsequent coronary heart disease. A WHR of about 0.87 showed a relative risk about two
and a half times higher than a WHR of less than 0.72. A similar effect occurred with waist circumference,
although a bit more of a threshold effect exists in women with a waist circumference of more than about 30
inches. But again, even after adjusting for BMI, a significant trend and relative risk of three exists for a
waist circumference greater than or equal to 38 inches.
What about the normal BMI group? Even in
women with a BMI of less than 25, a WHR of 0.88 increased the relative risk to about four and a half, as
compared with those who have a lower WHR and the same BMI. For women, these two measures--BMI and
WHR--are not all that correlated. Women can have identical BMIs and very different WHRs.
Men
and fat distribution
In examining fat distribution, it is not just fashionable but essential to look at
men and women completely separately. The distributions of waist circumference and WHR barely overlap
for men and women. The smallest WHR grouping for men was 0.90 versus 0.72 for women--barely
overlapping distributions.
The Physicians Health Study looked at the relationship between WHR and
coronary heart disease in men. The multivariate-adjusted estimate shows a significant increase of 1.53 for
a greater WHR. However, after body mass index is taken into account, this finding becomes much weaker:
1.3; 1.27; and 1.3. Similar results have been seen in a number of studies, with WHR not adding much
information after BMI is accounted for. Waist circumference shows a relatively similar pattern in men. An
initial relative risk of 1.61 is reduced to a nonsignificant trend and a point estimate of 1.1 once BMI is taken
into account.
The elderly and fat distribution
BMI is generally a stronger predictor in men
under 65. In our research among men in the Physicians' Health Study, the relative risk estimate for a BMI
greater than 27.6 is about 2.4 in younger men, versus barely 1.5 for older men. Given the natural decline in
muscle mass as we grow older and increase in adipose (fat tissue), perhaps BMI does not measure total fat
as well in the elderly. This led researchers to examine whether WHR is a better predictor in elderly adults.
The Health Professionals Study showed a fairly weak association between WHR and heart disease, with a
relative risk of about 1.3 (already adjusted for BMI) for men under 65. Among men over 65, the
relationship was much stronger. This finding posed an interesting argument as to whether we should be
measuring WHR versus BMI in older adults. When we examined the question through the Physicians Health
Study, we did not see a similarly strong relationship in older men. While the WHR performs better than the
BMI in older men, its still not as predictive as in younger men and women.
Although the Nurses Health
Study used a slightly younger cut point of 60, the results remain similar in women: WHR is quite a strong
predictor for people under 60 years old, but nonsignificant for those over 60.